November-December 2009

A Plan to Reach the Stars

Reaching sustainable water use: A case study of Chino Valley

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By Mark Holmes

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Amidst Arizona’s growing population and demand for more water, many areas around the state, especially rural areas, are facing the harsh reality of groundwater depletion, some aspects of climate change, river impacts, water-quality issues, monumental infrastructure expenditures, and few alternative water supplies. These realities are placing limits on the water supplies that will be available and affordable in the future. The Sun Corridor, which extends from Yavapai County to western Cochise County, is now home to over 5 million people, and, by 2040, have population projections of over 10 million people. Is the Sun Corridor the next Chicago? Raising Arizona was the challenge of the 20th century, while sustaining Arizona is now the challenge of the 21st century (Morrison Institute, 2007). According to Michael Willis, 2006 president of International City/County Managers Association, “The answers to the issues of our age do not come solely from the global political arena, but also from the very things we do at the local level. For nowhere is change more achievable than at the individual and local levels. And in so many ways, it’s the things we do locally that really count.”

If we peer into the future, water sustainability looks more like an imperative than an option (Vickers, 2002). In 1999, the US National Academy of Sciences published its report, “Our Common Journey: A Transition Toward Sustainability.” This report outlined that sustainable development has now become central to the mission of international organizations; countries; and national institutions, corporations, cities, and some states. This report also defined the issues, “What is to be sustained?” The answer: nature, life support, and community. It also focused on “What is to be developed?” The answer: people, economy, and society.

Introduction
Chino Valley is like any other rural Arizona community that seems to be struggling with the growing pains of transitioning from a rural to urban community. However, Chino Valley is within the Prescott Active Management Area (AMA), where water supplies within the AMA are sparse and more critically managed.

The Prescott area aquifers were declared to be in overdraft in 1999, and currently the AMA is being overdrafted two to one. Chino Valley is located in the northern region of the AMA (Figure 1), and centrally located over the Little Chino Aquifer, which is the principal aquifer for the region and provides the water for the three communities. Chino Valley is 68 square miles, and larger than Prescott and Prescott Valley combined. However, 80% of the lands within Chino Valley have no water rights, and is why Chino Valley has principally grown through lot splits, exempt wells, and septic tanks.

For Chino Valley to create any sustainable water resource plans, water sustainability must be clearly defined along with any associated components. In this case, water resource sustainability will be defined as “a condition of existence or process that allows water to be maintained indefinitely; the principles of sustainability integrate three closely interlinked systems that include: the environment, the economy, and social systems.” 

For any planning process it is important to understand the current conditions, the costs, and benefits for planning modifications, and a precise way to measure the efficiency and success.

Planning for the Future
Chino Valley, which resides at the northern extent of the Sun Corridor, is experiencing significant growth, which is exerting demands upon the precious limited and already-overdrafted water supply. Understanding long-term water demand projections and available water supplies is essential to determining a future water budget, while incorporating sustainability components to ensure those water supplies are maintained or enhanced in perpetuity.

The Town’s population has historically grown around 4% with periodic increases. Starting with today and looking into the future, regarding new growth, predictions for population and future water demands can be made. Using a prediction model, the estimated population for Chino Valley at 2055 is over 60,000 people, (Figure 3). Based on this population prediction model, an estimate for water supply requirements for this new growth can be calculated. As part of this iterative process, a complete inventory of all existing and future water supplies will be required to evaluate the future water budget.

The town currently has no appropriable surface water rights, 263 acre-feet (af) of assured water supply credits, 50 af of type-I and type-II non-irrigation rights, and is currently generating annually 150 af of long-term storage credits as part of its recently permitted underground storage facility. Since 1999, Chino Valley has been acquiring historically irrigated acres (HIA) water rights within the Big Chino sub-basin (an adjacent groundwater basin to the North), with the future commitment to import that water supply under ARS §45-555(A). To date, the town has acquired 3,750 af of importable water rights.

By evaluating new growth at 4%, the town is projecting to have an additional 50,000 people by 2058, (Figure 4). The future water demand can be calculated by multiplying the population projections by the estimated gallons per capita per day (GPCD) value.  In this model, 130, 87, and 57 GPCD were used. For example, if the new population used 130 GPCD, an annual water budget of over 7,000 af would be required, while a 57 GPCD would require a much smaller annual water budget of a little more than 3,000 af. 

AMA Water Supplies
Even though over 450,000 af fall within the AMA as precipitation, less than 2% actually find its way back into the aquifer as recharge, primarily due to runoff and evapotranspiration. Current water demands within the AMA and a very small amount of water being recharged have led to a significant overdraft, where for every acre-foot of water recharged into the aquifer, there are 2 af being withdrawn for use annually.

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Water use throughout the year fluctuates as demand for water increases significantly. The summer month’s seasonal outdoor water use creates additional aquifer stresses at a time when recharge is at its lowest (Figure 5). This water use increase is primarily due to landscape watering. Because 40–50% of all water delivered is used for landscaping and lost, only half of that water supply is returned through a municipal sewer system for treatment and recharged back into the aquifer.

Achieving Water Resource Sustainability
If we evaluate the current water equation for water use within the AMA, there are two significant paradigm shifts that need to occur to achieve water sustainability. First, by closing the water loop for water delivery and collection systems this would eliminate water being served exteriorly, which is lost due to the previously mentioned processes. Closing the water loop will require an alternative water supply for exterior uses. Second, groundwater recharge can be increased within the AMA through planned retention/recharge projects as part of new requirements for development drainage plans and/or centralized or community retention/recharge projects. Figure 6 shows water supplies delivered for interior use only and the delivery being severed to exterior uses. Also, an alternative water supply is integrated to meet the needs of exterior water demands. Lastly, the figure illustrates a new stormwater retention system that provides water back to the aquifer in the form of recharge. Next Page >

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